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Interesting - @JonahNRO endorses my post on the myth of Reagan as Great Communicator in USAT: http://j.mp/kwRaym My post: http://j.mp/aEgaFe
Column: Obama's Reagan parallels are falling away - USATODAY.com
5.1, 9.3, 8.1, 8.5, 8, 7.1 and 3.9. While that might sound like a controversial series of Olympic curling scores, these numbers in fact add up to a grave problem for Barack Obama. They are the q...
Obama and the Reagan myth revisited - Brendan Nyhan As I've repeatedly noted, journalists have a tendency to attribute electoral outcomes and poll ratings to political tactics rather than the underlying fundamentals (most notably, the state of th...
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For more debunking of unsupported claims re: Reagan's effect on public opinion, see http://j.mp/aFHzmJ http://j.mp/jyZy9n http://j.mp/enVOrS
Overstating Reagan's effect on public opinion - Brendan Nyhan Time's cover story on Ronald Reagan's influence on President Obama opens with this anecdote (emphasis added): In May 2010, Barack Obama invited a small group of presidential historians to the Wh...
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Socially conscious hiphop -- Redman weighs in on state fireworks policy http://j.mp/lnoEMI
Bans on Fireworks Lifted to Bring New Tax Revenue - NYTimes.com
As elected officials try to cash in on fireworks sales in cities and counties where they have long been banned, consumers will find it easier to buy fireworks.
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She's more concerned about the Fed than Obama! MT @marcfishman lindsay lohan paid to tweet re inflation http://t.co/EBol3lq
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RT @RyanLizza: Some perspective on GOP fundraising #'s: what Republican prez candidate raised the most money in the second quarter of 2007? Rudy Giuliani.
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RT @AdamSerwer: No such thing as accidental rape http://t.co/oS0hWjL
http://t.co/oS0hWjL
I find this post from my colleague Robert Kuttner, in which he posits this theory of what might have happened in the hotel room of former IMF head Dominique Strauss-Kahn bizarre: There’s a knock...
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With economy drowning out HCR debate, Kaiser finds belief in death panels down from 40% in 12/10 to 31% now (but 20% DK) http://j.mp/mCb0Xs
Kaiser Health Tracking Poll -- June 2011
The June Kaiser Health Tracking Poll finds a plurality of Americans (45%) say they would support minor reductions to current levels of Medicare spending, but fewer than one in five (18%) support...
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Interview by @craigsilverman w/my co-author Jason Reifler on our research into corrections and the backfire effect @CJR http://j.mp/lD2Alw
The Backfire Effect
Which of these headlines strikes you as the most persuasive: "I am not a Muslim, Obama says." "I am a Christian, Obama says." The first headline is a direct and unequivocal denial of a piece of ...
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RT @JamesFallows: The real dickishness problem, IMHO http://bit.ly/mK0vOw No surprise, it's 'savvy' political analysis, not the gaffes
The Real Dickishness Problem
Sign up to receive our three free newsletters Everyone from President Obama to Ted Koppel is bemoaning a decline in journalistic substance,… To environmentalists, "clean coal" is an insulting ox...
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Great example of how triggering event can start a mini-feeding frenzy, but I'm with Chait RT @jonathanchait http://t.co/opgXSLV
Dickgate (The Other Dickgate) | The New Republic
In an appearance on "Morning Joe" today, Mark Halperin called President Obama "a dick," in reference to his press conference appearance. Halperin apologized, but MSNBC has suspended him. The mer...
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RT @pourmecoffee: With Mark Halperin suspended, there will be no one to glibly speculate without facts on when Mark Halperin will return.
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Sure it's disrespectful, but suspension is silly MT @RobGeorge POTUS head of state & head of govt. Whoever's in it afforded greater respect
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RT @jamisonfoser: Real problem, of course, isn't the coarse language. It's the substance-free theater criticism, which is standard Halperin.
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RT @prowag: Why people believe stupid stuff when confronted with the truth, featuring @BrendanNyhan http://t.co/VejmzGl
Why Do People Believe Stupid Stuff, Even When They're Confronted With the Truth? | Media
The "backfire effect" helps explain how strange, ancient and kooky beliefs resist science, reason and reportage. This story is cross-posted from You Are Not So Smart. The Misconception: When you...
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Initial results from deliberative poll on state governance conducted last weekend in California http://j.mp/kkMrouPoll finds strong desire for accountability and real solutions What's Next California is the state's first-ever Deliberative Poll, seeking in-depth public opinion on the most pressing governance issues: state-local reform, taxation and fiscal policy, initia...
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RT @drewconway: Excellent commentary on the recent debate about social contagion by Shalizi http://t.co/ArFHNsfKnights, Muddy Boots, and Contagion; or, Social Influence Gets Medieval Three papers have appeared recently, critiquing methods which people have been using to try to establish social influence or social contagion: "The Spread of Evidence-Poor Medicine through Flawe...
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Tomorrow's BHO obit today from @mattyglesias - lack of stimulus resolve + GOP obstruction -> bad econ. -> political probs http://j.mp/johs0F
Obama The Passive
David Frum’s proposed critique of Barack Obama: The job has overwhelmed the man. He’s not an alien, he’s not a radical. He’s just not the person the country needs. He’s not tough enough, he’s no...
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The inextricable link between the norm of objectivity and the media's obsession with gaffes http://j.mp/m7w4eL
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RT @dbernstein: @BrendanNyhan Fair - but also, gaffes are new. Long-held nonsense policy views are not. Journos (understandably) want something new.
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RT @jbplainblog: @dbernstein @brendannyhan Gaffes are also often funnier. Gaffe coverage just fits really well with press norms & (understandable) biases.
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RT @johnmcquaid: @dbernstein @BrendanNyhan But a gaffe persists if it becomes part of a "narrative." Nonsense policy views not considered narrative-worthy.
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Poor mgmt. of Bachmann's office might be the COS's fault, but shouldn't reporters check? More useful than gaffe patrol. http://j.mp/mhluqI
Bachmann's Former Chief of Staff: She Isn't Ready
Conor Friedersdorf - Conor Friedersdorf is an associate editor at The Atlantic, where he writes about politics and national affairs. He lives in Venice, California, and is the founding editor of...
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RT @jbouie: http://cl.ly/828w I wouldn't make too much of this. GOP voters will eventually choose a nominee, and they'll be stoked about him or her.Republican Voters Lack Enthusiasm for Presidential Contenders, Poll Shows Republican voters are not satisfied with the candidates running for the Republican nomination and wish they had more choices, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll. None of the ca...
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RT @fivethirtyeight: @daveweigel: 1. Jon Hunstman, Mike Bloomberg and Joe Lieberman meet for coffee; 2. ???; 3. Viable third party
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RT @jackshafer: A comet falls on #1 and #2 RT @daveweigel: Question from ed of Reuters: What needs to happen to create a moderate third party? #aspenideas
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What's only thing more meaningless than an election year gaffe? A gaffe in June the year before http://wapo.st/jMCGanThe media’s misguided `gaffe’ obsession - The Plum Line - The Washington Post So what counts as a "gaffe" in the eyes of the press corps? We're getting an excellent lesson in it this week, with the formal rollout of the Michele Bachmann presidential candidacy. Bachmann is...
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RT @jamisonfoser: #BrokenSystem RT @daveweigel: You get more heat for flubbing a founder's name than for saying tax cuts always up revenue.
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More from @monkeycageblog on Legislative Theories and the NY Gay Marriage Vote http://j.mp/lsM3rmhttp://j.mp/lsM3rm In response to my earlier post, a political scientist emailed me and said: …the NY events are contrary to theories that a lot of poli sci folks buy into. Cartel theories of legislatures say tha...
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What would we do w/o Tina Brown? MT @MahaRafiAtal Newsweek fictional story 'What Princess Di's Life Might Look Like Now' http://t.co/RluIvm5
What Princess Diana's Life Might Look Like Now - Newsweek
After Diana's death, nine years after the car crash in the Paris tunnel, I attended a ball at Althorp, her ancestral home in the English county of Northamptonshire. The party was hosted, improba...
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NYT fails to fact-check false Breitbart claim that was debunked by Anderson Cooper and Chuck Todd in July 2010 http://j.mp/kApH7D
CNN's Cooper detonates Breitbart's NAACP applause falsehood | Media Matters for America
Andrew Breitbart has attempted to divert attention from his falsehoods about former USDA official Shirley Sherrod by claiming that her NAACP audience applauded "as she described how she maltreat...
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Another reason to have a gas tax - being hit by vehicle that is 1000 lbs heavier increases likelihood of dying by 47% http://t.co/yaYGEdrPounds that Kill: The External Costs of Vehicle Weight Heavier vehicles are safer for their own occupants but more hazardous for the occupants of other vehicles. In this paper we estimate the increased probability of fatalities from being hit by a h...
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Authors note that "the total fatality externality is roughly equivalent to a gas tax of $1.08 per gallon" http://j.mp/inRImDPounds that Kill: The External Costs of Vehicle Weight Heavier vehicles are safer for their own occupants but more hazardous for the occupants of other vehicles. In this paper we estimate the increased probability of fatalities from being hit by a h...
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RT @mjensley: and GWB too “@BrendanNyhan: With different institutions, Obama might have been hailed as a visionary leader RT @jbouie: http://t.co/7VouBbu”
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With different institutions, Obama might have been hailed as a visionary leader RT @jbouie: http://t.co/zO2JTsk
Rules Matter
New York's passage of same-sex marriage legislation Friday was immediately followed by praise for Governor Andrew Cuomo's leadership and his ability to assemble a coalition of Republican and Dem...
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