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Highly recommended RT @monkeycageblog: Political Science and Gay Marriage in New York http://t.co/2RDQZ2sPolitical Science and Gay Marriage in New York — The Monkey Cage A Monkey Cage reader, Jeff, emailed me and wrote: I'll speak to this by drawing on the New York State Senate's decision to legalize gay marriage. I look at the politics of gay marriage and see a... -
RE: Bachmann Q - "flake" is probably gendered, but worth noting that Jerry Brown, who had a similar profile, was called a "flake" for years.
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RT @ChrisMooney_: “A Little Knowledge”: Why The Biggest Problem With Climate “Skeptics” May Be Their Confidence http://t.co/ScVVrj5
Chris Mooney | “A Little Knowledge”: Why The Biggest Problem With Climate “Skeptics” May Be Their Confidence
Last week, an intriguing study emerged from Dan Kahan and his colleagues at Yale and elsewhere--finding that knowing more about science, and being better at mathematical reasoning, was related t...
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Cool graphs MT @MysteryPollster: New nat'l HuffPost Pollster GOP charts with Palin http://t.co/rAmeBrY & without http://t.co/4chEVlR
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RT @mattyglesias: If NY Sen had a 60 vote supermajority rule and marriage equality failed, would people now be castigating Gov Cuomo's weak leadership?
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.@mattyglesias on misleading WH graph of # of Iraq/Afgh. troops http://j.mp/kmGoEQ Reminds me of classic Bush junk chart: http://j.mp/kYD4wc
Filling In The Missing Data Points On The White House’s Afghanistan/Iraq Troop Level Charts
Earlier this week, ThinkProgress produced a graph illustrating the fact that Obama’s “withdrawal” plan from Afghanistan will leave more troops there than were present at the start of his adminis...
The Treasury Department's junk chart - Brendan Nyhan
TrackBack URL for this entry:http://www.typepad.com/s ervices/trackback/6a00d83451d2 5c69e200d83460e19169e2 Listed below are links to weblogs that reference The Treasury Department's junk chart: "...
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I remember when liberals opposed this kind of rhetoric RT @elliottjustin Pretty awful stuff from Hillary Clinton http://t.co/S6PuxNm
Glenn Greenwald: Plurality of Americans love Gadaffi
Hillary Clinton, yesterday, when asked about those questioning the Libya War: But the bottom line is, whose side are you on? Are you on Qadhafi's side or are you on the side of the aspirations o...
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RT @kwcollins: Key takeaway: social science would be easier if the government assigned more policies by random draw of birth dates: http://t.co/egY8hZlThe Lasting Effects of the Vietnam Draft Lottery — The Monkey Cage From a new piece (gated; ungated) by Robert Erikson and Laura Stoker. Previous research, such as by Joshua Angrist, has looked at the economic consequences of military service in Vietnam, using ...
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RT @jay_ulfelder: Improving Predictions Using Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging http://t.co/HGdp6ME | Useful new paper by Montgomery, Hollenbach & Ward.
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RT @dandrezner: @jay_ulfelder on using regressions to forecast political instability, and what this means for China http://t.co/Jv8jf5N
Crystal Clear - By Jay Ulfelder
In "Dark Crystal" (July/August 2011), Foreign Policy managing editor Blake Hounshell discusses social scientists' apparent failure to predict the momentous revolutions of 2011 and concludes that...
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PBS Need to Know: Why you can’t handle the truth: the psychology of belief http://j.mp/kOYHdo (featuring @ChrisMooney_)
Video: Why you can’t handle the truth: the psychology of belief | Need to Know
The political sharks and their remora-like pundits are already circling in anticipation of next year's elections. Some observers complain that modern campaign speeches, advertising and debates h...
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A graduate of my high school! RT @ezraklein: Everyone saying this story by @joseiswriting is amazing is right: http://t.co/TE1uGGX
My Life as an Undocumented Immigrant - NYTimes.com
A reporter talks about his illegal American dream.
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Bonica: "small donors tend to be ideological warriors out to reward polarizing rhetoric and to punish bipartisanship" http://j.mp/luCkId
Heckle and Prosper « Ideological Cartography
The Washington Post recently published an article on money blurts which has also been discussed at The Monkey Cage and elsewhere. I've done some research on this topic, so I thought I would recy...
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.@mikeallen quotes @KevinMaddenDC "It's OK to stop reading an article [when] the words 'a professor of poli sci' appear" http://j.mp/k6tePm
POLITICO Playbook
ELEVATOR POINT: The more Bachmann is attacked, the more it helps her. BULLETIN: THE HAGUE, Netherlands (AP) - International Criminal Court judges issue arrest warrant for Moammar Gadhafi.
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I take that as a sign that we're making progress, but let me propose instead the law of Madden:
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It's ok to stop reading any article that quotes consultants speculating about how tactics or gaffes will change election outcomes.
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Or how about this? The Law of Politico: If they think it's important, it's probably not. (inspired by @poliscipunk)
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Talk about feeding the narrative RT @billburton716 Romney only able to find $100 bills in his wallet http://t.co/oIrcFwy (via @jamisonfoser)
Romney sharpens attack on Dodd-Frank financial regulations
AURORA, Colo. - As he tries to persuade Republicans that he can jump-start the nation's beleaguered job market, Mitt Romney is sharpening his attack on last year's overhaul of financial industry...
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Although he did find a five eventually RT @billburton716 Romney only able to find $100 bills in his wallet http://t.co/oIrcFwy
Romney sharpens attack on Dodd-Frank financial regulations
AURORA, Colo. - As he tries to persuade Republicans that he can jump-start the nation's beleaguered job market, Mitt Romney is sharpening his attack on last year's overhaul of financial industry...
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RT @bradplumer Great piece on why InTrade doesn't work very well for predicting the GOP primary: http://t.co/8r2Hl93 (via @postpolls)InTrade And Jon Huntsman: Why The Media’s Faith In The Internet Betting Ring Is Foolish | The New Republic Few people expect Jon Huntsman to win the Republican nomination. Indeed, it seems obvious to many that his odds are a lot worse than 1 in 10. But on the predictions market InTrade, a stock-inspi...
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WaPo doesn't call Fast and Furious a scandal yet http://j.mp/kxg97O But CNN, WSJ, Politico, CBS, Fox already have, may be matter of time
Obama’s nominee for ATF chief to meet with Justice Department officials
President Obama's nominee to head the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives is scheduled to meet with senior Justice Department officials Tuesday amid growing pressure on the agenc...
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Survey experiment by John Sides finds tax receipt has no effect on attitudes toward taxes, govt. waste, deficit http://j.mp/m12HXG
The Effects of a Tax Receipt | YouGov US Opinion Center
The notion that Americans should get a "tax receipt" has gotten a lot of attention. Third Way has promoted the idea and developed an on-line calculator that actually provides one. The White Hous...
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Hibbs: Income growth needs to be +2% per year over last seven quarters for Obama to have good chance of re-election http://j.mp/iIja1D
http://www.douglas-hibbs.com/E lection2012/2012Election-MainP age.htm
The 2012 US Presidential Election: Implications of the Bread and Peace Model Aggregate votes for president in postwar elections are well explained by just two fundamental determinants: (1) weigh...
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Current Hibbs forecast is Obama 46% due to weighted-average growth of per capita real disposable personal income of 0.1% http://t.co/ytA8YIJ
http://t.co/ytA8YIJ
The 2012 US Presidential Election: Implications of the Bread and Peace Model Aggregate votes for president in postwar elections are well explained by just two fundamental determinants: (1) weigh...
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